FORECAST OF ANNUAL INDICATORS OF INTESTINAL OBSTRUCTION AMONG CHILDREN UNTIL 2030

Abstract

Objective: This study aimed to assess the validity of a predictive methodology for estimating the incidence of intestinal obstruction in children, utilizing retrospective data and mathematical calculations. The research focused on the city of Samarkand and its surrounding districts, with the ultimate goal of providing insights for health authorities to develop targeted treatment and preventive measures.

Methods: Retrospective data related to the incidence of intestinal obstruction in children were collected and analyzed using a specified methodology. Mathematical calculations were employed to extrapolate trends and forecast future occurrences. The study extended its scope to include both urban and rural settings in Samarkand, providing a comprehensive understanding of the potential patterns in disease incidence.

Results: The results obtained from the predictive methodology demonstrated its validity in estimating the incidence of intestinal obstruction in children. The forecasted data, specific to the city of Samarkand and its districts, were instrumental in uncovering patterns inherent in disease prediction. Graphical representations were constructed to visually highlight these patterns, facilitating a deeper understanding for health authorities.

Conclusion: The findings of this study underscore the effectiveness of the employed methodology in predicting the incidence of intestinal obstruction in children. The insights gained from the analysis and forecasted data can serve as valuable tools for health authorities in Samarkand, enabling them to develop targeted treatment and preventive measures. This research contributes to the ongoing efforts to enhance public health strategies, particularly in the context of pediatric intestinal health in the region. Future studies may further refine and expand upon these findings to strengthen the predictive capabilities for improved healthcare planning and implementation