An Economic Study Of The Repercussions Of The Wheat Gap In The Arab Republic Of Egypt

Abstract

Despite an increase in wheat-farmed area and, as a result, an increase in total wheat crop yield. Because of the annual population increase, the consumed quantities of it continue to rise at rates faster than the rates of expanded production. As a result, the nutritional gap in wheat has widened and the sufficiency ratio has decreased. As a result, the study's primary goal is to investigate and estimate the most relevant indicators of food security for Egypt's wheat crop, which is one of the country's most essential strategic crops, during the study period (2001-2020). To achieve the research's goals, it relied heavily on descriptive and quantitative data analysis, including the employment of a linear regression model of the general trend equations to calculate the annual growth rate of the study variables' evolution. When the food gap for Egypt's wheat harvest was calculated, it was discovered to have a general increasing tendency, with an annual increase rate of roughly 5.2%. The annual percentage of wheat self-sufficiency, with an annual growth rate of roughly 1.3%. It also revealed a decline in the value of the wheat crop's food security coefficient, which was around 0.26. The drop is attributable to a greater reliance on imports to meet the essential needs, as well as a reduction in strategic stock. As a result, in order to increase the area of wheat, the value of the food security coefficient must be increased, as well as horizontal expansion. Taking a variety of agricultural strategies and growth plans into consideration.